TURKIYE: GOVERNMENT STRUGGLES TO CONTAIN DOMESTIC UNREST AMID ECONOMIC CHALLENGES

   Thu, 08 May 2025

The arrest of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu has triggered widespread protests led by economically marginalised youth, placing the ruling administration under pressure. The government has responded with targeted repression and efforts to control public narrative, but its capacity to manoeuvre is limited by persistent inflation and fiscal constraints. While high interest rates have curbed immediate financial risks, structural weaknesses continue to restrict economic recovery. Meanwhile, in Syria, Türkiye and Israel remain on a collision course over influence and military presence, with both states pursuing divergent objectives. Although a fragile deconfliction arrangement is in place, it reflects mutual risk aversion rather than substantive alignment.

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