Thu, 10 June 2021
Ahead of the second filling schedule of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam in July, opponents of Africa’s largest hydropower dam project are running out of options for a mediated solution to a Blue Nile water rights dispute. The prospect of military strike action on the dam by Egypt, Sudan, and proxy forces remains unlikely but is becoming increasingly probable. PANGEA-RISK assesses the military capability and tactical options at hand in case a mediated resolution fails in coming months.