ERITREA: ESCALATING RIFT WITH ETHIOPIA DRIVES MILITARY BUILD-UP AND REGIONAL UNCERTAINTY

   Fri, 14 March 2025

Eritrea’s military mobilisation has accelerated following Ethiopia’s alleged backing of opposition groups, intensifying hostilities and straining already fragile relations between the two countries. The rivalry has extended into Ethiopia’s Tigray region, where both governments are supporting opposing factions, fuelling further instability. Somalia’s shift towards Ethiopia has fractured its alignment with Eritrea and Egypt, weakening their collective efforts against Ethiopia’s regional ambitions. Rising defence expenditures, external financing constraints, and deteriorating trade with Ethiopia are compounding Eritrea’s economic strain, heightening financial and political risks.

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